Truhán

Veo como pronosticamos y me doy cuenta que seguimos esquivando el asunto de la predicción condicionada y los escenarios. O, también, en las excelentes palabras del gran Buiter:

Never mind that anyone providing point forecasts of anything without also offering at least some information about of the rest of the probability distribution of future outcomes (variance, skewness, kurtosis, single-peakedness etc) is either a fool, a knave (or both) or caters to an audience consisting of bears of very little brain.

Call me knave, please.